Politicscloses 07 Nov
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin Newsom19%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
Jon Ossoff13%
Vol $1228.3MLiq $70.7M
View on Polymarket →Category
Elections, geopolitics and government decisions: Polymarket probabilities analyzed daily.
The Polymarket prediction market for the 2028 US Presidential Election shows JD Vance as the frontrunner at 19.9%, followed by Marco Rubio at 13.7% and Gavin Newsom at 11.5%. Recent news includes a DoJ probe into Newsom and primary elections testing Trump's influence.
Our prediction
JD Vance 22% · confidence low
Il mercato Polymarket per la nomination repubblicana 2028 vede Robert F. Kennedy Jr. in testa con il 49%, ma le fonti indicano un testa a testa tra J.D. Vance e Marco Rubio. Analizziamo i fattori in gioco e le probabilità reali.
Our prediction
J.D. Vance 45% · confidence medium
Il mercato Polymarket per la nomination democratica 2028 vede Gavin Newsom in testa al 18.6%, ma Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (15.8%) e Jon Ossoff (13.0%) guadagnano terreno. Le recenti dichiarazioni di JD Vance su AOC e l'attenzione su Ossoff alimentano la concorrenza.
Our prediction
Gavin Newsom 22% · confidence medium